Crossing the Valley of Death: Why Defense Innovation Fails (and How to Win)

 

📌 Key Takeaways:

 

  • The Myth of Technology: In defense, an "elegant" solution that fails in degraded conditions is a liability, not an asset.
  • The Currency of Trust: The network and physical presence in the field (exercises, working groups) are worth more than a perfect pitch deck.
  • The Institutional Imbroglio : Navigating between NATO, the EU, and national sovereignties requires a rare "institutional literacy."
  • The Lesson from Ukraine: Robustness and the ability to make rapid changes on the battlefield take precedence over design perfection.
  • Governance as a Weapon : Innovation only becomes a capability if it is anchored in a strategic foundation and a clear doctrine.

Many innovators imagine that walking through the doors of NATO or a Department of Defense is an end in itself. They arrive with serious funding, cutting-edge technology, and one certainty: "we have the solution." However, the reality on the ground is a graveyard of brilliant ideas that never survived their encounter with power structures, technical legacies, and the brutal demands of war. What is known as the "Valley of Death"is not simply a lack of funding, it is a seismic fault between the agility of the BITD and the vital inertia of sovereign institutions. To succeed, it is no longer a question of "disrupting," but of building resilience capable of withstanding the weight of history and human responsibility.

Enthusiasm is a poor compass in hostile territory. In recent years, the defense ecosystem has become a gold mine for venture capital funds and DeepTech startups. But behind the bright lights of trade shows such as Milipol, Eurosatory, and the Defense Innovation Forum, a harsh reality remains: most of these "revolutionary" solutions end up fading away into the silence of administrative corridors.

 

Why? Because defense is not a market like any other. It is a world where mistakes are not paid for in "churn rates," but in human lives.

 

This analysis is inspired by a publication by Eva Sula that appeared on January 31, 2026.

 

Trust before Technology: You don't buy an algorithm, you adopt an ally

 

In defense, trust is the foundation of everything. It cannot be decreed during a Zoom demo. It is deeply personal, built on years of constant presence, shared merit, and understanding of doctrinal issues.

 

The myth of remote scaling

 

There is no such thing as rapid scaling in defense. You have to be there: in NATO exercises, in obscure working groups, in difficult conversations about what happens when the system breaks down.

 

  • Physical presence: This is non-negotiable when it comes to gaining credibility. A good example of this is Shark Robotics. Deployed inside Notre Dame Cathedral in 2019 during the fire that ravaged the building, Shark's teams are now in Ukraine saving lives.

  • Continuity: Decision cycles often extend beyond the duration of a fundraising campaign.

 

Expert opinion: “Trust is built between people who have learned to rely on each other in times of crisis. You can't bypass this process with aggressive marketing.” — Eva Sula.

 

Understanding War: The Difference Between the Laboratory and the Trenches

 

Many people talk about defense without understanding the reality of combat. War is not an abstract concept or a clean simulation. It is total uncertainty, degraded communications, and extreme pressure.

 

Robustness vs. Elegance: The Ukrainian Lesson

 

The conflict in Ukraine has acted as a distorting mirror for our technological certainties. What survives on the battlefield is not necessarily the most complex system, but the most robust.

 

Feature Innovation Lab Combat-Ready Innovation
Priority Optimization & Speed Resilience & Redundancy
Maintenance Dedicated technical support Repairable in the field by the operator
Connectivity Cloud & High Fidelity Gradient mode & Anti-interference
Evolution Quarterly update cycle Daily adaptation in response to the opponent's counterattacks

 

If you design an elegant solution that requires a perfect satellite connection to function, you have designed a target, not a tool. Innovation in defense must accept "friction" — that Clausewitzian concept where everything simple becomes difficult.

 

The Institutional Maze: NATO, the EU, and Sovereignty

 

One of the most costly mistakes is to believe that NATO is a single customer. NATO is a system of 32 sovereign nations, each with its own priorities, budgets, and laws.

 

Multi-layered complexity

 

You operate simultaneously in several dimensions:

 

  1. The strategic level: The Alliance's deterrence concepts.

  2. The institutional level: The European Defense Agency (EDA) or the European Commission.

  3. The operational level: The immediate needs of forces in the field.

  4. The industrial level: Partnerships with "Prime Contractors" (Thales, Airbus, Lockheed Martin), which often hold the keys to integration.

 

Ignoring even one of these layers means ensuring that your innovation will remain a short-lived "experiment." Adoption is not a single step, but rather a long-term political and legal process.

 

Adoption is the most difficult (and most overlooked) part.

 

Most failures do not occur because the technology is bad, but because it is "unadoptable."

 

Questions that kill innovation:

 

  • Integration: How does your AI connect to a 30-year-old system?

  • Data governance: Who owns the data? Who is responsible in the event of an algorithm error?

  • Sustainment: Who will maintain your system in 15 years when your startup may have been acquired?

 

Scaling requires understanding thatlegacy systems are not going to disappear. Success does not come from abrupt replacement, but from the ability to make the old and the new interoperable.

 

Towards Future-Proof Innovation

 

Crossing the Valley of Death is not a question of speed, but of structure. To succeed in defense, you must build solutions that are not only technically brilliant, but institutionally acceptable. This requires patience, humility, and above all, a clear strategic vision.

 

The Strategic Gateway: Why Your Governance Foundation Is Your Best Defense

 

In such a complex ecosystem, agitation too often replaces leadership. For a company that wants to succeed, technology is only the fuel. The engine is your strategy.

 

At Autour de l’Image, we know that to overcome defensive barriers, you must first strengthen your Governance Foundation.

 

Why? Because before pitching NATO, you must:

 

  • Define a vision that aligns with geopolitical realities.

  • Structure your organization to meet security and sustainability requirements.

  • Build authority that reassures decision-makers about your ability to deliver in the long term.

 

Without this foundation, you are just another tourist in Death Valley. With it, you become an indispensable strategic partner.

 

Would you like us to analyze together the strength of your strategic positioning for sovereign markets?

 

About the author

Philippe Rigault

Philippe is the Founding President of Autour de l’Image. After 15 years in logistics (DHL) and strategic consulting, he founded the agency in 2007 for SMEs and mid-market companies. His unique approach: he doesn't just do communications; he builds growth. Philippe applies the operational rigor of logistics to B2B strategy. He helps executives transform their vision into a profitable growth engine. His goal is to ensure that marketing (digital, content, brand) is an investment. To do this, he relies on the "Strategic Compass" methodology he developed at Autour de l'Image.

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